← Yeti Gaming Webcam Locals 10/24/2024
Water Tera MageTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Locals 10/24/2024
decks
4
(6.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
8-5-0
overall winrate
61.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
57.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1284
· median 1214
· range 1194–1517
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1197
Q3 1359
1638
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 50.6% | +0.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Water Allies | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Allies | 6.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.7% | +0.5 |
| Wind Exia | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.3% | -1.6 |
| Fire Exia | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Tonoris | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Water Fractal | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Water Tera Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
